Is ORG overvalued right now?
Based on our 2026 models, Origin Energy Limited (ORG) appears overvalued at $10.15 with roughly 19.9% downside versus fair value. Confirm with valuation ratios and financials before acting.
Origin Energy Limited (ORG) is currently Overvalued by 19.94%
Instant valuation answer
Origin Energy Limited (ORG) appears overvalued by approximately 19.94% based on our live valuation percent and intrinsic value estimate derived from DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. Valuation can still differ across analyst models, growth expectations, and risk assumptions.
- Downside (live) 19.94% (from live valuation API)
- Confidence (live) 5/10 (Moderate risk)
Confidence Score is based on the magnitude of upside or downside vs intrinsic value.
Fair value estimate
Unlock fair valueCurrent price
$10.15
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Why is Origin Energy Limited overvalued or undervalued?
Based on intrinsic value, Origin Energy Limited (ORG) looks priced ahead of a cash-flow-based fair value that blends growth, reinvestment needs, and a risk-adjusted discount rate.
Compared to historical valuation, today’s multiple exceeds the range implied by the company’s own five-year average—suggesting the market is more optimistic than its own past pricing of similar fundamentals.
Market expectations embedded in the price imply a demanding bar for execution: revenue cadence, margin stability, and capital returns would need to accelerate to justify a sustained premium versus fair value.
Key metrics
- P/E ratio
- 23.8x
- Revenue growth (TTM y/y)
- 24%
- Profit margin
- 22.4%
- Fair value (model)
- Unlock
Frequently asked questions — ORG
What is Origin Energy Limited's intrinsic value?
Our DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models estimate whether ORG trades above or below fair value. At $10.15, Origin Energy Limited currently looks overvalued on this snapshot. Tickerplace Pro unlocks the full dollar fair value estimate.
How is Origin Energy Limited's intrinsic value calculated?
Tickerplace calculates ORG's fair value using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. We compare the resulting intrinsic value estimate to the live market price to flag undervalued or overvalued positioning.
Is ORG undervalued right now?
A stock is undervalued when price sits below a supportable fair value range. Check whether ORG's gap aligns with fundamentals using the ratios and financial links on this page.
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