Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) is currently Overvalued by 57.43%

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) appears overvalued by approximately 57.43% based on our live valuation percent and intrinsic value estimate derived from DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. Valuation can still differ across analyst models, growth expectations, and risk assumptions.

Downside (live) 57.43% (from live valuation API)
Confidence (live) 8.5/10 (High conviction overvalued)

Confidence Score is based on the magnitude of upside or downside vs intrinsic value.

Fair value estimate

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Current price

$236.39

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Why is Packaging Corporation of America overvalued or undervalued?

Intrinsic value work anchors Packaging Corporation of America on owner earnings and balance-sheet capacity; the current quote trades above that anchor, which frames the stock as relatively rich on a fundamentals-first view.

Versus historical valuation bands, PKG is closer to the upper end of where this business has traded when profitability and growth were comparable—useful context before reading any single headline multiple.

Forward market expectations are elevated: the price requires heroic assumptions to converge with our fair-value zone, but sector peers and macro rates still deserve a quick sanity check on the company page.

Key metrics

P/E ratio: 45.1x
Revenue growth (TTM y/y): 18%
Profit margin: 22.0%
Fair value (model): Unlock

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Frequently asked questions — PKG

Is PKG overvalued right now?

Based on our 2026 models, Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) appears overvalued at $236.39 with roughly 57.4% downside versus fair value. Confirm with valuation ratios and financials before acting.

What is Packaging Corporation of America's intrinsic value?

Our DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models estimate whether PKG trades above or below fair value. At $236.39, Packaging Corporation of America currently looks overvalued on this snapshot. Tickerplace Pro unlocks the full dollar fair value estimate.

How is Packaging Corporation of America's intrinsic value calculated?

Tickerplace calculates PKG's fair value using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. We compare the resulting intrinsic value estimate to the live market price to flag undervalued or overvalued positioning.

Is PKG undervalued right now?

A stock is undervalued when price sits below a supportable fair value range. Check whether PKG's gap aligns with fundamentals using the ratios and financial links on this page.

Peers for PKG: open their overvalued / undervalued view.

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