Is PSX overvalued right now?
Based on our 2026 models, Phillips 66 (PSX) appears overvalued at $206.77 with roughly 38.8% downside versus fair value. Confirm with valuation ratios and financials before acting.
Phillips 66 (PSX) is currently Overvalued by 38.84%
Instant valuation answer
Phillips 66 (PSX) appears overvalued by approximately 38.84% based on our live valuation percent and intrinsic value estimate derived from DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. Valuation can still differ across analyst models, growth expectations, and risk assumptions.
- Downside (live) 38.84% (from live valuation API)
- Confidence (live) 8.5/10 (High conviction overvalued)
Confidence Score is based on the magnitude of upside or downside vs intrinsic value.
Fair value estimate
Unlock fair valueCurrent price
$206.77
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Why is Phillips 66 overvalued or undervalued?
Based on intrinsic value, Phillips 66 (PSX) looks priced ahead of a cash-flow-based fair value that blends growth, reinvestment needs, and a risk-adjusted discount rate.
Compared to historical valuation, today’s multiple exceeds the range implied by the company’s own five-year average—suggesting the market is more optimistic than its own past pricing of similar fundamentals.
Market expectations embedded in the price imply a demanding bar for execution: revenue cadence, margin stability, and capital returns would need to accelerate to justify a sustained premium versus fair value.
Key metrics
- P/E ratio
- 41.1x
- Revenue growth (TTM y/y)
- 8%
- Profit margin
- 24.0%
- Fair value (model)
- Unlock
Frequently asked questions — PSX
What is Phillips 66's intrinsic value?
Our DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models estimate whether PSX trades above or below fair value. At $206.77, Phillips 66 currently looks overvalued on this snapshot. Tickerplace Pro unlocks the full dollar fair value estimate.
How is Phillips 66's intrinsic value calculated?
Tickerplace calculates PSX's fair value using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. We compare the resulting intrinsic value estimate to the live market price to flag undervalued or overvalued positioning.
Is PSX undervalued right now?
A stock is undervalued when price sits below a supportable fair value range. Check whether PSX's gap aligns with fundamentals using the ratios and financial links on this page.
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