Transurban Group (TCL) is currently Overvalued by 18.42%

Instant valuation answer

Transurban Group (TCL) appears overvalued by approximately 18.42% based on our live valuation percent and intrinsic value estimate derived from DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. Valuation can still differ across analyst models, growth expectations, and risk assumptions.

  • Downside (live) 18.42% (from live valuation API)
  • Confidence (live) 5/10 (Moderate risk)

Confidence Score is based on the magnitude of upside or downside vs intrinsic value.

Fair value estimate

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Current price

$14.66

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Why is Transurban Group overvalued or undervalued?

Intrinsic value work anchors Transurban Group on owner earnings and balance-sheet capacity; the current quote trades above that anchor, which frames the stock as relatively rich on a fundamentals-first view.

Versus historical valuation bands, TCL is closer to the upper end of where this business has traded when profitability and growth were comparable—useful context before reading any single headline multiple.

Forward market expectations are elevated: the price requires heroic assumptions to converge with our fair-value zone, but sector peers and macro rates still deserve a quick sanity check on the company page.

Key metrics

P/E ratio
27.4x
Revenue growth (TTM y/y)
20%
Profit margin
14.1%
Fair value (model)
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Frequently asked questions — TCL

Is TCL overvalued right now?

Based on our 2026 models, Transurban Group (TCL) appears overvalued at $14.66 with roughly 18.4% downside versus fair value. Confirm with valuation ratios and financials before acting.

What is Transurban Group's intrinsic value?

Our DCF, P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models estimate whether TCL trades above or below fair value. At $14.66, Transurban Group currently looks overvalued on this snapshot. Tickerplace Pro unlocks the full dollar fair value estimate.

How is Transurban Group's intrinsic value calculated?

Tickerplace calculates TCL's fair value using Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), P/E Multiple, and P/S Multiple models. We compare the resulting intrinsic value estimate to the live market price to flag undervalued or overvalued positioning.

Is TCL undervalued right now?

A stock is undervalued when price sits below a supportable fair value range. Check whether TCL's gap aligns with fundamentals using the ratios and financial links on this page.

Peers for TCL: open their overvalued / undervalued view.